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            Abstract Enhancement of currents in Earth's ionosphere adversely impacts systems and technologies, and one example of extreme enhancement is supersubstorms. Despite the name, whether a supersubstorm is a substorm remains an open question, because studies suggest that unlike substorms, supersubstorms sometimes affect all local times including the dayside. The spectacular May 2024 storm contains signatures of two supersubstorms that occurred successively in time with similar magnitude and duration, and we explore the nature of them by examining the morphology of the auroral electrojet, the corresponding disturbances in the magnetosphere, and the solar wind driving conditions. The results show that the two events exhibit distinctly different features. The first event was characterized by a locally intensified electrojet followed by a rapid expansion in latitude and local time. Auroral observations showed poleward expansion of auroras (or aurorae), and geosynchronous observations showed thickening of the plasma sheet, magnetic field dipolarization, and energetic particle injections. The second event was characterized by an instantaneous intensification of the electrojet over broad latitude and local time. Auroras did not expand but brightened simultaneously across the sky. Radar and LEO observations showed enhancement of the ionospheric electric field. Therefore, the first event is a substorm, whereas the second event is enhancement of general magnetospheric convection driven by a solar wind pressure increase. These results illustrate that the so‐called supersubstorms have more than one type of driver, and that internal instability in the magnetotail and external driving of the solar wind are equally important in driving extreme auroral electrojet activity.more » « less
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            Mukhopadhyay, Agnit; Welling, Daniel_T; Liemohn, Michael_W; Ridley, Aaron_J; Chakraborty, Shibaji; Anderson, Brian_J (, Space Weather)Abstract Ionospheric conductance is a crucial factor in regulating the closure of magnetospheric field‐aligned currents through the ionosphere as Hall and Pedersen currents. Despite its importance in predictive investigations of the magnetosphere‐ionosphere coupling, the estimation of ionospheric conductance in the auroral region is precarious in most global first‐principles‐based models. This impreciseness in estimating the auroral conductance impedes both our understanding and predictive capabilities of the magnetosphere‐ionosphere system during extreme space weather events. In this article, we address this concern, with the development of an advanced Conductance Model for Extreme Events (CMEE) that estimates the auroral conductance from field‐aligned current values. CMEE has been developed using nonlinear regression over a year's worth of 1‐min resolution output from assimilative maps, specifically including times of extreme driving of the solar wind‐magnetosphere‐ionosphere system. The model also includes provisions to enhance the conductance in the aurora using additional adjustments to refine the auroral oval. CMEE has been incorporated within the Ridley Ionosphere Model (RIM) of the Space Weather Modeling Framework (SWMF) for usage in space weather simulations. This paper compares performance of CMEE against the existing conductance model in RIM, through a validation process for six space weather events. The performance analysis indicates overall improvement in the ionospheric feedback to ground‐based space weather forecasts. Specifically, the model is able to improve the prediction of ionospheric currents, which impact the simulateddB/dtandΔB, resulting in substantial improvements indB/dtpredictive skill.more » « less
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